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31 July 2009

In Weak Market, Efficiency Pays Off for CP


 
North America's largest railways are reporting sharply lower freight shipments, but investors took a shine to the sector yesterday, with Canadian Pacific Railway Ltd. leading the way with its second-quarter profit rolling beyond expectations.
 
Calgary-based CP has been able to operate more efficiently and control costs, including with temporary layoffs, helping to offset continuing weakness in moving goods such as forest products, fertilizers, coal, and autos.
 
Canada's second-biggest rail company had 15,178 employees at the end of June, down 2,284 or 13 percent from a year earlier, including U.S. operations.
 
CP shares jumped 12 percent yesterday after the company announced 59 cents in earnings per share, excluding one-time gains, surpassing analysts' forecasts of 34 cents.
 
Grain was one of the bright spots, rising in freight revenue by 20 percent.
 
"CP blew away the Street's estimates", RBC Dominion Securities Inc. analyst Walter Spracklin said in an interview yesterday. "When the economy comes back, you've got an exciting story for the rail industry".
 
While there remains uncertainty about how long it will take for the broader economy to bounce back, the railways are well positioned to pounce when good times do return, Mr. Spracklin said. "The railways have performed well, much better than what I would have expected, given the severity of this recession", he said, noting that many investors are starting to rotate into the rail sector, impressed by carriers' ability to maintain and even raise freight rates in some cases.
 
Shares in Canadian National Railway Co., the country's largest freight carrier, staged a 4 percent gain yesterday.
 
U.S. companies also joined the rally, including Norfolk Southern Corp., Union Pacific Corp., CSX Corp., Burlington Northern Santa Fe Corp., and Kansas City Southern Railway Co.
 
While CP's second-quarter profit climbed 2 percent to $157.3-million, CP chief executive officer Fred Green cautioned that there are challenges ahead. "In an economic environment like this, where we're not seeing any signs of a substantive recovery, we continue to focus our efforts and actively manage what's within our control", Mr. Green said during a conference call yesterday.
 
For the first 29 weeks of this year, carloads have fallen 19.8 percent at North America's biggest railways from the same period in 2008.
 
Brent Jang.
 
 
   
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